Monday 16 October 2017

Paul Beckwith : Will the “Luck of the Irish” hold?

Ophelia Will Severely Test “Luck of the Irish”


16 October, 2017



Ophelia Will Severely Test “Luck of the Irish”: 1 of 2 // Published on Oct 15, 2017






People usually focus on hurricane categories to get an idea as to how severe a storm will be.  This is dangerous thinking, including the case of Ophelia directly hitting Ireland.
Sure, it is possible (even likely) that Ophelia’s rotation speed may drop below Cat 1 (75 mph = 121 km/hr) at landfall, but Ireland is in the right-front-quadrant where speeds relative to the ground are much higher, since the rotation speed and forward speeds add up, and damage is proportional to wind speed to the power 2.7; not good.

Also, storm surge will funnel between Ireland and Great Britain and be greatly amplified.
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Ophelia Will Severely Test the “Luck of the Irish”: 2 of 2 //Published on Oct 15, 2017



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Careful.  Real adult language.  Shared from Paul’s twitter, dk, editor.








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